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Title: The 2018 Mid-Term Election: Estimated Voter Participation Rates by Race and Age in Arizona, Florida, Georgia and Texas

Citation Type: Miscellaneous

Publication Year: 2018

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Abstract: The razor thin margins separaƟng the DemocraƟc and Republican candidates for senator and governor in Florida; in the Georgia governor’s race; in the senatorial elecƟon in Arizona; and the strong showing by Beto O’Rourke in the senatorial race in Texas, mask the extraordinary problems faced by the DemocraƟc Party as it turns to the presidenƟal elecƟon scheduled for November 2020.1 In each of these state elecƟons DemocraƟc‐leaning demographic consƟtuencies – African Americans, LaƟnos, and young voters between 18 and 29 years of age – voted at significantly lower rates than the principal Republican consƟtuencies, older non‐Hispanic white men and women. If DemocraƟc demographic consƟtuencies would have voted at even slightly higher rates, elecƟons in these four states each DemocraƟc candidate would have won by comfortable margins. Journalists and poliƟcal commentators have noted over and again that the problem Democrats will face in the 2020 presidenƟal elecƟon is how they can nominate a candidate who will aƩract the white working‐class vote and/or ‘peel off’ some of the Republican support in predominantly white rural areas of key swing states. This theory for victory may be somewhat accurate . . .

Url: https://academicworks.cuny.edu/clacls_pubs

Url: https://academicworks.cuny.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1082&context=clacls_pubs

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Authors: Bergad, Laird W

Publisher: Center for Latin American, Caribbean, and Latino Studies

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Other, Race and Ethnicity

Countries: United States