Full Citation

Title: Anticipating Changes in Regional Demand for Nursing Homes

Citation Type: Miscellaneous

Publication Year: 2016

ISBN:

ISSN:

DOI:

NSFID:

PMCID:

PMID:

Abstract: Californias nursing homes provide a major source of personal and medical care for the states most vulnerable residentsthe elderly and the disabled. By 2030 the states 65- and-over population will grow by 87 percent. The number of people requiring skilled nursing care could increase by 32,000, far outstripping current capacities. We find that there will be significant disparities in regional growth rates across racial/ethnic groups and in regions abilities to absorb higher numbers of patients. Specifically: The Bay Area and the Inland Empire have the largest discrepancies between existing nursing home capacity and projected demand in 2030; Los Angeles and Northern California (excluding the Bay Area) have the smallest. Regional growth rates in the 65-and-over population vary widely within racial/ethnic groups. For example, rates among Latinos range from 159 percent on the states Southern Border (Imperial and San Diego Counties) to 193 percent in the Inland Empire; among Asians they range from 93 percent in the Central Coast to 212 percent in Northern California (excluding the Bay Area). In order to meet the growing and changing demands for senior care at the statewide and regional levels, policymakers will need to address ways to increase nursing home capacity. These solutions must also include recruiting and training health workers who can provide effective, culturally competent care, whether in skilled nursing facilities or home- and community-based settings.

Url: http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/report/R_1116LBR.pdf

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Beck, Laurel; Gibson, Landon

Publisher: Public Policy Institute of California

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Aging and Retirement, Health

Countries: