Full Citation

Title: The Effects of a $15 Minimum Wage by 2019 in San Jose and Santa Clara County

Citation Type: Miscellaneous

Publication Year: 2016

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Abstract: Our data are drawn from the Census Bureaus American Community Survey and from other Census and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics datasets. We also make use of the extensive research conducted by economistsincluding ourselvesin recent years on minimum wages, and upon research on related economic topics. Our estimates of the effects of a $15 minimum wage are also based upon existing research on labor markets, business operations, and consumer markets. Our estimates compare employment numbers if the policy were to be adopted to employment numbers if the policy is not adopted. Other factors that may affect employment by 2019 are therefore outside the scope of our analysis. We have successfully tested our model with a set of robustness exercises. Our analysis does not incorporate the recent state minimum wage law passed in April 2016. Since the San Jose and Santa Clara County scenarios are on a faster timeline, the number and demographics of workers affected would be similar if we had included the scheduled statewide increases. However, the size of the average wage increase and the effect on firms compared to the new baseline established by the state would be somewhat smaller.

Url: http://irle.berkeley.edu/cwed/briefs/2016-03.pdf

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Authors: Reich, Michael; Montialoux, Claire; Allegretto, Sylvia; Jacobs, Ken; Bernhardt, Annette; Thomason, Sarah

Publisher: University of California, Berkeley

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Labor Force and Occupational Structure, Other

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