Full Citation

Title: The Rise and Fall of U.S. Low-Skilled Immigration

Citation Type: Miscellaneous

Publication Year: 2017

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Abstract: From the 1970s to the early 2000s, the United States experienced an epochal wave of low-skilled immigration. Since the Great Recession, however, U.S. borders have become a far less active place when it comes to the net arrival of foreign workers. The number of undocumented immigrants has declined in absolute terms, while the overall population of low-skilled foreign-born workers has remained stable. We examine how the scale and composition of low-skilled immigration in the United States has evolved over time and how relative income growth and demographic shifts in the Western Hemisphere have contributed to the recent immigration slowdown. Because major source countries for U.S. immigration are now seeing and will continue to see weak labor-supply growth relative to the United States, future immigration rates of young low-skilled workers appear unlikely to rebound, whether or not U.S. immigration policies tighten further.

Url: https://gps.ucsd.edu/_files/faculty/hanson/hanson_publication_immigration_rise-fall.pdf

Url: https://gps.ucsd.edu/_files/faculty/mcintosh/mcintosh_paper_bpea-nber.pdf

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Authors: Hanson, Gordon; Liu, Chen; McIntosh, Craig

Publisher: University of California San Diego

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Labor Force and Occupational Structure, Migration and Immigration

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