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Title: Economic Swings, Political Instability and Migration in Kyrgyzstan

Citation Type: Journal Article

Publication Year: 2019

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Abstract: Individual-level migration responses to economic fluctuations and polit- ical instability remain poorly understood. Using nationally representative survey data from Kyrgyzstan, we look at variations in levels and propensities of internal and temporary international migration and relate them to changes in the economic and political environment in that Central Asian nation in the first decade of the century. A multinomial event history model predicting yearly risks of both types of migration detects no clear association of internal migration risks with episodes of heightened political instability but shows a decrease in those risks in response to the strongest economic shock of the observation period. In comparison, international migration risks, while also insensitive to political turmoil, appear to increase at the time of the most pronounced economic downturn. The results also point to instructive patterns in migration propensities by type of area of residence, education, gender, and ethnicity. These findings are interpreted in light of complex intersec- tions of demography with politics, economy, and culture in this transitional Eurasian setting.

Url: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10680-018-9482-4

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Agadjanian, Victor; Gorina, Evgenia

Periodical (Full): European Journal of Population

Issue: 2

Volume: 35

Pages: 285-304

Data Collections: IPUMS International

Topics: Migration and Immigration, Other

Countries: Kyrgyz Republic