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Title: Rethinking the 'Early' Decline of Fertility in the United States: New Evidence from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Citation Type: Conference Paper

Publication Year: 2002

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Abstract: In this article, I rely on new estimates of nineteenth-century mortality and the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series to construct new estimates of white fertility in the nineteenth-century United States. Unlike previous estimates that showed a long-term decline in overall fertility beginning at or before the turn of the nineteenth century, the new estimates suggest that U.S. fertility did not begin its secular decline until circa 1840. Moreover, new estimates of white marital fertility, based on "own-children" methods, suggest that the decline in marital fertility did not begin in the nation as a whole until after the Civil War (1861-1865).

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Authors: Hacker, J.David

Conference Name: PAA Conference

Publisher Location: Atlanta, GA

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Fertility and Mortality

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