Full Citation

Title: Increasing mortality across cohorts of white American women about to enter old age

Citation Type: Miscellaneous

Publication Year: 2017

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Abstract: I document a trend of increasing mortality across cohorts of white American women beginning with those born in 1951 and continuing through those born in the early-1960s. This cross-cohort trend of increasing mortality represents a sharp break following at least twenty years of decline, is evident starting at age 35, and persists across older ages. The cohort-based pattern can explain previously documented increases in the mortality rate of 45-54 year old white women since 1999 (Case and Deaton, 2015; Gelman and Auerbach, 2016), as well as increases in the mortality rate of 35-44 year old and 54-59 year old white women starting in 1990 and 2010 respectively. There is suggestive evidence of a similar pattern for white men, but the break is smaller and less uniform across ages. That increased mortality is cohort-specific—and evident at many ages—suggests its causes are as well. The cohorts with elevated mortality are about to enter old age and their depressed health could increase health care spending, depress labor force participation, and impact the solvency of government programs.

Url: https://paa.confex.com/paa/2018/mediafile/ExtendedAbstract/Paper24131/mortality_revision_7_26.pdf

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Authors: Reynolds, Nicholas

Publisher: Brown University

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Aging and Retirement, Fertility and Mortality, Gender

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