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Title: Is There a Case for a "Second Demographic Transition"? Three Distinctive Factors of the Post-1960 U.S. Fertility Decline

Citation Type: Book, Section

Publication Year: 2014

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Abstract: Dramatic fertility swings over the last 100 years have been the subject of literatures in demography and economics. Recent research has claimed that the post-1960 fertility decline is exceptional enough to constitute a Second Demographic Transition. The empirical case for a Second Demographic Transition, however, rests largely on comparisons of the post-1960 period with the baby boom era, which was exceptional in many ways. Our analysis of the U.S. instead compares the fertility decline in the 1960s and 1970s to the decline earlier in the twentieth century, especially the 1920s and 1930s.

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Authors: Hershbein, Brad J.; Bailey, Martha J.; Guldi, Melanie

Editors: Leah Platt Boustan, Carola Frydman Robert A.Mango

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Volume Title: Human Capital in History: The American Record

Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

Publisher Location: Massachusetts

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Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Family and Marriage, Fertility and Mortality

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