Full Citation
Title: Climate Change as a Migration Driver in Mexico, 1986-99
Citation Type: Dissertation/Thesis
Publication Year: 2014
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Abstract: Grounded in the Sustainable Livelihoods framework, this study investigates the impact of climate change on various migration streams in Mexico, comparing migration from rural versus urban areas, international versus domestic moves, and first versus last moves within households. To measure the effects of climate change on these migration streams, a set of 17 climate change indices, proposed by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI), was generated using daily temperature and precipitation data for 214 Mexican weather stations obtained from the Global Historical Climate Network-Daily (GHCN-D) data set. Cokriging as a method of spatial interpolation was employed to assign climate change index values to 111 Mexican municipalities, for which detailed migration histories and relevant sociodemographic characteristics were obtained from the Mexican Migration Project (MMP). Multi-level event history models were employed to estimate the impact of various climate change indices on household-level migration patterns from 1986 to 1999. The results indicate climate change more strongly impacts migration from rural compared to urban areas and international moves more so than domestic moves. In addition, within households, first moves are more sensitive to climate change than later moves. First international moves from rural areas are the most sensitive streams and are predominantly influenced by warming temperatures and decreasing rainfall. Significant socio-climatic interactions . . .
Url: https://scholar.colorado.edu/socy_gradetds/36/
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Authors: Nawrotzki, Raphael, J
Institution: University of Colorado at Boulder
Department: Education
Advisor: Lori M. Hunter
Degree: PhD
Publisher Location: Boulder
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Data Collections: IPUMS International
Topics: Migration and Immigration, Other
Countries: Mexico