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Title: Spatial Manifestations of the “Great American Migration Slowdown”: A Decomposition of Inter-County Migration Rates, 1990-2012
Citation Type: Working Paper
Publication Year: 2017
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Abstract: Prior research on the “Great American Migration Slowdown,” which refers to the declining rate of U.S. internal migration in recent years and decades, has ignored the spatial manifestations of migration slowdown. This misses an important part of the story because, as we show in this paper, U.S. counties became increasingly connected to one another by migration over the past two decades, with gains in migration “connectivity” helping to partially offset the Great American Migration Slowdown. Using county-to-county migration flow data from the Internal Revenue Service and an innovative application of Das Gupta’s demographic standardization and decomposition procedures, we estimate that changes in the rate of U.S. internal migration since the early 1990s would have been between 1.7 and 10.4 points lower (depending on the year) than observed changes had U.S. counties not become increasingly connected to one another by migration. We subsequently examine the unique spatial manifestations of the Great American Migration Slowdown for each of eight types of inter-county migration flows across the rural-urban continuum. We conclude by reflecting on the substantive implications of these changes and why these changes are likely to continue in the future.
Url: https://pop.umn.edu/sites/pop.umn.edu/files/4.working_paper17.pdf
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Authors: DeWaard, Jack; Fussell, Elizabeth; Curtis, Katherine, J; Ha, Jasmine, T
Series Title: MPC Working Paper Series
Publication Number: 2017-4
Institution: Minnesota Population Center
Pages: 40
Publisher Location: Minneapolis, MN
Data Collections: IPUMS USA
Topics: Migration and Immigration
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