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Title: Immigration and the Labor Market in the Post-Pandemic Recovery

Citation Type: Working Paper

Publication Year: 2023

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Abstract: Standard estimates based on the main household survey used to shed light on labor markets—the Current Population Survey (CPS)—suggest that after a significant drop during the pandemic, recent rapid growth has brought the foreign-born population back to, or above, levels predicted by the pre-pandemic trend. However, we document that the weighting factors used to make the CPS nationally representative have recently displayed some unusual movements and conclude that standard estimates of the foreign-born population may currently be too high. We also show that recent labor market indicators are inconsistent with increased foreign-born induced slack.

Url: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4598299

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Authors: Butcher, Kristin; Cain, Lucas; Garcia-Jimeno, Camilo; Perry, Ryan

Series Title: SSRN 4598299

Publication Number: 2023-39

Institution: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Pages: 1-18

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Data Collections: IPUMS CPS

Topics: Labor Force and Occupational Structure, Race and Ethnicity

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