Full Citation

Title: Estimating Multistate Transition Rates from Population Distributions

Citation Type: Journal Article

Publication Year: 2003

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Abstract: The ability to estimate interstate transition rates (or probabilities) from population distributions has many potential applications in demography. Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) has been used for such estimation, but lacks a meaningful behavioral foundation. Here a new approach, Relative State Attraction (RSA), is advanced. It assumes that states have a greater (or lesser) ability to attract individuals, and that rates respond accordingly. The RSA estimation procedure is developed and applied to model and actual data where the underlying rates are known. Results show that RSA provides accurate estimates under a wide range of conditions, typically yielding values quite similar to those produced by IPF. Both methods are then applied to U.S. data to provide new estimates of interregional migration between the years 1980 and 1990.

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Authors: Schoen, Robert; Jonsson, Stefan H.

Periodical (Full): Demographic Research

Issue: 1

Volume: 9

Pages: 3-26

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Methodology and Data Collection, Other

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