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Title: Fewer Marriages, More Divergence: Marriage Projections for Millennials to Age 40

Citation Type: Miscellaneous

Publication Year: 2014

Abstract: Declining marriage rates suggest a growing fraction ofmillennials will remain unmarried through age 40. In this brief, we use data from the American Community Survey to estimate age specific marriage rates and project the percentage of millennials who will marry by age 40 in different scenarios. We find that the percentage of millennials marrying by age 40 will fall lower than for any previous generation of Americans, even in a scenario where marriage rates recover considerably. Moreover, marriage patternswill continue to diverge by education and race, increasing the divides between mostly married haves and increasingly single have-nots.

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Peters, H.Elizabeth; Martin, Steven P.; Marie Astone, Nan

Publisher: Urban Institute

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Family and Marriage

Countries:

IPUMS NHGIS NAPP IHIS ATUS Terrapop