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Title: Could Latinos Choose the Next President? States in Which Latinos Could Determine the Margin of Victory in the 2016 Presidential Election
Citation Type: Miscellaneous
Publication Year: 2016
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Abstract: The Latino electorate, citizens who are 18 years of age and older and thus eligible to vote, is projected to be approximately 28 million persons for the 2016 presidential election. However, because of low registration rates, about 58% of eligible voters in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012, only 48% of potential Latino voters (13.5 million) will in all likelihood actually cast ballots to choose the next president of the United States. Eligible Latino voters are concentrated in relatively few states. California alone accounts for nearly 27% of the Latino electorate; Texas nearly 19%; and Florida slightly over 10%. New York at 7.4% is fourth; Arizona (3.9%) fifth; Illinois (3.7%) sixth; and New Jersey (3.3%) seventh. These seven states account for three-quarters of all eligible Latino voters in the U.S. However with the exception of Florida, which was won by President Obama by 0.9% of the popular vote in 2012, each of the other six states are expected to be won by one party or the other by large margins in 2016 and are not in play. Floridas 29 electoral votes will be a major objective of the Republican and Democratic candidates, and there is no question that the Latino vote will be a decisive factor in Florida.
Url: http://academicworks.cuny.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1012&context=clacls_pubs
User Submitted?: No
Authors: Bergad, Laird W
Publisher: City University of New York, Center for Latin American, Caribbean, and Latino Studies
Data Collections: IPUMS USA
Topics: Other, Race and Ethnicity
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