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Title: Gasoline in the Voter’s Pocketbook: Driving Times to Work and the Electoral Implications of Gasoline Price Fluctuations

Citation Type: Journal Article

Publication Year: 2022

ISSN: 1532-673X

DOI: 10.1177/1532673X211043445

Abstract: Gasoline prices are often a heated topic during presidential election campaigns in the United States. Yet, presidents have limited control over gasoline prices. Do voters reward or punish the president for changes in gasoline prices? Why might voters blame the president for an outcome beyond direct presidential control? This study addresses these questions by testing the effects of gasoline prices on pocketbook retrospection by voters. To capture the personal economic burden of gasoline prices, we rely on average driving times to work, given the inelastic nature of gasoline consumption for commuting. The results provide evidence for pocketbook voting: constituencies with longer average driving times to work are more likely to hold the president accountable for gasoline price increases. These findings have broader implications regarding electoral accountability and rationality in voting.

Url: https://doi.org/10.1177/1532673X211043445

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Kim, Sung Eun; Yang, Joonseok

Periodical (Full): American Politics Research

Issue: 3

Volume: 50

Pages: 312-319

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Population Mobility and Spatial Demography

Countries:

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