Full Citation
Title: A Resource for State Preelection Polling The Current Population Survey provides high-quality data that can mitigate overrepresentation of college graduates in polls
Citation Type: Miscellaneous
Publication Year: 2020
ISBN:
ISSN:
DOI:
NSFID:
PMCID:
PMID:
Abstract: Post-mortem analysis of the 2016 election found that a failure to adjust for overrepresentation of college graduates was among the reasons many state-level polls underestimated support for Donald Trump. Voters who graduated from a four-year college are more likely to answer surveys than other adults and, in recent years, they are also more likely to support a Democrat for president. If a battleground state poll does not adjust for having too many college graduates, it is at risk of overstating support for a Democratic presidential candidate (in this case, Joe Biden).
User Submitted?: No
Authors: Hatley, Nick; Kennedy, Courtney
Publisher: Pew Reseach Center
Data Collections: IPUMS CPS
Topics: Education
Countries: