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Title: The Welfare Cost of Perceived Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Social Security

Citation Type: Journal Article

Publication Year: 2018

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Abstract: Policy uncertainty reduces individual welfare when individuals have limited opportunities to mitigate or insure against the resulting consumption fluctuations. We field an original survey to measure the degree of perceived policy uncertainty in Social Security benefits and to estimate the impact of this uncertainty on individual welfare. Our central estimates show that on average individuals are willing to forgo 6 percent of the benefits they are supposed to get under current law to remove the policy uncertainty associated with their future Social Security benefits. This translates to a risk premium from policy uncertainty equal to 10 percent of expected benefits.

Url: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20151703

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Authors: Luttmer, Erzo, FP; Samwick, Andrew, A

Periodical (Full): American Economic Review

Issue: 2

Volume: 108

Pages: 275-307

Data Collections: IPUMS CPS

Topics: Poverty and Welfare

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