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Title: Modeling undocumented migration from Mexico to the United States – A structural examination of available information and options for analysis

Citation Type: Miscellaneous

Publication Year: 2017

Abstract: The stock of undocumented Mexican migrants into the U.S. was on the rise between 2000 and 2007 and started to decline from 2008 onwards. In this paper, we discuss the development of a modeling framework for economic analysis of undocumented Mexico to U.S. migration, taking into account the implicit taxation of wages received by undocumented migrants. We attempt to historically validate our CES nested model against observed price and quantity responses of inputs (including undocumented migrant labor) and aggregate output in the economy during the 2000-2007 period. In the process we examine model performance under a range of parametric values for factor supply and substitution elasticities and provide a frame of reference for comparing existing literature estimates of these parameters. We find that as we move closer to matching the historical record on quantity change of undocumented labor usage we move farther from our targeted responses in prices.

Url: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/258376/files/Abstracts_17_06_13_09_23_07_82__128_210_122_201_0.pdf

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Kabir, Kayenat; Keeney, Roman

Publisher: Agricultural & Applied Economics Association

Data Collections: IPUMS CPS

Topics: Migration and Immigration

Countries: United States

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