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Title: Unintended Consequences of Eliminating Tax Havens

Citation Type: Working Paper

Publication Year: 2018

Abstract: We show that eliminating firms' access to tax havens has unintended consequences for economic growth. We analyze a policy change that limited profit shifting for US multinationals, and show that the reform raised the effective cost of investing in the US. Exposed firms respond by reducing global investment and shifting investment abroad-which lowered their domestic investment by 38%-and by reducing domestic employment by 1.0 million jobs. We then show that the costs of eliminating tax havens are persistent and geographically concentrated, as more exposed local labor markets experience declines in employment and income growth for over 15 years. We discuss implications of these results for other efforts to limit profit shifting, including new taxes on intangible income in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017.

Url: http://www.nber.org/papers/w24850

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Serrato, Juan Carlos Suarez

Series Title: NBER Working Paper Series

Publication Number: 24850

Institution: National Bureau of Economic Research

Pages: 112

Publisher Location: Cambridge, MA

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Other, Poverty and Welfare

Countries:

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