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Title: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers

Citation Type: Working Paper

Publication Year: 2019

Abstract: We argue that rising supply of experience not only reduces experienced workers’ relative wages but also their relative labor market participation. From a theoretical model we derive predictions which we quasi-experimentally investigate, using variation across U.S. local labor markets (LLMs) over the last decades and instrumenting experience supply by the LLMs’ age structures a decade earlier. We find that aging substantially reduces experienced workers’ relative wages and employment rates, and also their labor market participation rates. Our results imply that the effect of demographic change on labor markets might be more severe than previously recognized, as it reaches beyond wages.

Url: http://ftp.iza.org/dp12243.pdf

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Böhm, Michael J; Siegel, Christian

Series Title: IZA Discussion Paper Series

Publication Number: 12243

Institution: IZA

Pages:

Publisher Location: Bonn, Germany

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Labor Force and Occupational Structure, Other

Countries:

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