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Title: A Simple Method for Estimating Age-Specific Rates from Sequential Cross Sections

Citation Type: Journal Article

Publication Year: 2002

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Abstract: I develop and demonstrate a simple formula for estimating age-specific event rates for a period from 'before' and 'after' cross sections. The general approach applies to a wide range of estimation problems in demography, the social sciences, and epidemiology. The method arises from the formal mathematics of unstable populations and is similar in spirit to 'variable-r' methods. Unlike those methods, however the new technique does not require specialized computer programming or iterative calculations, and event rates can be calculated directly from cross-sectional data in simple spreadsheets. The article includes a formal mathematical exposition of the method, simulation tests, and several examples.

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Authors: Schmertmann, Carl P.

Periodical (Full): Demography

Issue: 2

Volume: 39

Pages: 287-310

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Aging and Retirement, Methodology and Data Collection

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