Full Citation

Title: Inferring Migration Flows from Birthplace-Specific Population Stocks

Citation Type: Working Paper

Publication Year: 2003

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Abstract: Demographic estimation in countries with well-developed data reporting systems is based on data collected by censuses and vital registration systems. In countries with inadequate or inaccurate data reporting systems, demographic estimation often must rely on methods that are indirect. Such methods have been applied with considerable success in studies of mortality and fertility, but they have not been developed assystematically and formally for the analysis of migration. This paper sets out and tests three alternative methods for indirectly estimating origin-destination-specific migrationpropensities that have identical input requirements: two successive, birthplace-specific multiregional population age distributions. Common to all three methods is a focus on theratios of age-specific conditional survivorship proportions, ratios which mirror the regularities in age profiles that characterize migration schedules, suggesting that futureresearch should be directed at linking these regularities with those of model migration schedules.

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Authors: Raymer, James; Rogers, Andrei; Jordan, Lisa

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Publication Number: POP2003-0002

Institution: Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado at Boulder

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Publisher Location: Boulder, CO

Data Collections: IPUMS USA

Topics: Migration and Immigration

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