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Title: Household Joblessness in US Metropolitan Areas during the COVID19 Pandemic: Polarization and the Role of Educational Profiles

Citation Type: Working Paper

Publication Year: 2022

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Abstract: This study uses Current Population Survey 2016-2021 data to analyze household joblessness across metropolitan areas in the United States during the COVID19 pandemic. We first use shift-share analysis to decompose the change in household joblessness into changes in individual joblessness, household compositions, and polarization, i.e., the unequal distribution of joblessness across households. Household joblessness US metropolitan areas rises during the pandemic largely due to individual joblessness. But polarization contributes to household joblessness, indicating accumulation of employment risks in households. Second, we use metropolitan area-level fixed effects regressions to explain the large cross-labor market variance in household joblessness and polarization, focusing on the labor market make up of metropolitan areas reflected in the educational profile of the population. We measure three distinct features: educational levels, educational heterogeneity, and educational homogamy. Household joblessness is strongly correlated to educational levels. How polarization contributes to household joblessness is shaped by educational heterogeneity and homogamy

Url: https://www.lse.ac.uk/social-policy/Assets/Documents/PDF/working-paper-series/WPS-07-22.pdf

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Authors: Biegert, Thomas; Ozcan, Berkay; Rossetti-Youlton, Magdalena

Series Title: Department of Social Policy

Publication Number: November 2022

Institution: LSE

Pages: 1-51

Publisher Location: London

Data Collections: IPUMS CPS

Topics: Education, Health, Housing and Segregation, Labor Force and Occupational Structure

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